Sunday, January 25, 2009

SAG Predictions & Reaction

Reaction

I got 4/5 in my predictions.

Slumdog walked away with one of Acting's highest honours (I'll refrain), Sean Penn won for being more awardable than Mickey Rourke (interesting battle, though), and Ledger et Winslet repeated their fraudulent Globe wins. Thankfully, Meryl Streep won the Actress prize, and typically provided the most entertaining speech of the night.

Does this change anything? Not much. As soon as BAFTA chime in I'll review all the races and make some final predix. Until then, I'll leave you with some totally cringeworthy red carpet footage. Is it any wonder that Brangelina blanked E! at the Globes after this shambolic interview, featuring some total gossip girl-style obsession and certainly no mention of Changeling at all?


Here were my predictions:-

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
SEAN PENN - "MILK"

I generally find that the choices by the Actor's Guild are more conservative, so I expect Penn to win, although it's still all to play for on Feb 22.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
MELISSA LEO - "FROZEN RIVER
"

Why not? Halle Berry won this in 2001 (and went on to strike gold with Oscar) when the Actress category didn't feature an obvious winner. Winslet has the Oscar already but this could go to anyone.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
HEATH LEDGER - "THE DARK KNIGHT"


This is even more nailed on than the Globes.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
KATE WINSLET - "THE READER"


It would be funny if Viola Davis won (which she very well could) -- if only to see the media dramatise a Winslet loss and suggest she's not gonna get the Golden Guy after all.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE


It's enough of an ensemble to get away with winning this award. Doubt has a shot because of the 4 Oscar nominations but, well, you can't argue with momentum.

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