Atonement (Seamus McGarvey)
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Janusz Kaminski)
No Country For Old Men (Roger Deakins)
There Will Be Blood (Robert Elswit)
Reasoning: The ASC nominees and general consensus, although Into the Wild could make an appearance here, should it turn out to be the major force some think it will be.
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
Reasoning: Usually similar to the BP lineup. Bourne's quality editing has become common knowledge.
Visual Effects
300
The Bourne Ultimatum
Transformers
Reasoning: For all its faults 300's FX are so blatantly marvellous. I think the Bourne film is gonna do well in the techs since it got raves and obviously has technical fans if CAS and BAFTA are anything to go by.
Sound Mixing
American Gangster
Hairspray
No Country For Old Men
Sweeney Todd
Transformers
Reasoning: Anything remotely musical, technically assured + POPULAR.
Sound Editing
300
The Bourne Ultimatum
Pirates of the Caribbean 3: At Worlds End
Ratatouille
Transformers
Reasoning: Animated films tend to do well here. The rest are guesses.
Original Score
Atonement (Dario Marianelli)
Eastern Promises (Howard Shore)
The Kite Runner (Alberto Iglesias)
Lust, Caution (Alexander Desplat)
There Will Be Blood (Johnny Greenwood)
Reasoning: Well-known people with a presence in the precursors.
Original Song
Enchanted ('That's How You Know')
Hairspray ('Come So Far')
Into the Wild ('Guaranteed')
Love In The Time Of Cholera ('Despedida')
Once ('Falling Slowly')
Reasoning: The BFCA noms plus Shakira.
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