General Reaction: Oh. My. God. Atonement seriously shafted. Into the Wild needed this love. And I should have anticipated Cate Blanchett, but if we're going on the Crowe-Howard battle in '05, Oscar will probably let Cate have the one nomination. God, let's hope so. I don't know why I'm surprised. SAG always choose badly. A plea to AMPAS: Please do not let American Gangster be nominated for Best Picture. Here are the nominations...
Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett -Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie -Away From Her
Marion Cotillard -La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie -A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page -Juno
Julie Christie -Away From Her
Marion Cotillard -La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie -A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page -Juno
Prediction Score: 4/5
Actor in a Leading Role
George Clooney -Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis -There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling -Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch -Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen -Eastern Promises
Daniel Day-Lewis -There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling -Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch -Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen -Eastern Promises
Prediction Score: 2/5 I heard that they had loved Gosling, and I expected that McAvoy wasn't strong here, but Hirsch at the expense of Depp? I thought Langella might get in here too. Still it's shaken things up a bit.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Cate Blanchett -I'm Not There
Ruby Dee -American Gangster
Catherine Keener -Into the Wild
Amy Ryan -Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton -Michael Clayton
Ruby Dee -American Gangster
Catherine Keener -Into the Wild
Amy Ryan -Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton -Michael Clayton
Prediction Score: 3/5 Ruby Dee... you've gotta be kidding. She's in the film marginally longer than Redgrave and achieves about 1% of impact in comparison. An awful nomination. I think Keener is the more likely to score with Oscar. The other three are already in.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Casey Affleck -The Assassination of Jesse James
Javier Bardem -No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook -Into the Wild
Tommy Lee Jones -No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson -Michael Clayton
Javier Bardem -No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook -Into the Wild
Tommy Lee Jones -No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson -Michael Clayton
Prediction Score: 3/5 Affleck, Bardem, Holbrook and Wilkinson are already predictable for Oscar. Hoffman's snub is a blow but they clearly weren't into Charlie Wilson.
Ensemble
3:10 to Yuma
American Gangster
Hairspray
Into the Wild
No Country For Old Men
Prediction Score: 1/5 Wow. I can understand the last three but Yuma and Gangster? Just appalling.
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