With SAG early this year it's going to be interesting. Will their nominations have more of an impact on the Academy's picks, or will the usual SAG role of dashing the dreams of those snubbed at the Globes mean we face a lengthy month of knowing pretty much what they'll pick? If it's the latter I vote they move it back next year.
Quick explanation of my picks: I went for the hefty ensembles, the people who are blatantly "acting", and tossed in a couple of old legends that they might not be able to leave out.
Best Ensemble
Atonement
Charlie Wilson's War
I'm Not There
No Country For Old Men
Sweeney Todd
Alternates: There Will Be Blood, Michael Clayton, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Best Actor in a Leading Role
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney ToddFrank Langella - Starting Out in the Evening
Denzel Washington - American Gangster
Alternates: James McAvoy - Atonement, Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Amy Adams - Enchanted
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno
Alternates: Keira Knightley - Atonement, Laura Linney - The Savages, Helena Bonham-Carter - Sweeney Todd
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Javier Bardem - No Country For Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Max Von Sydow - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
Alternates: Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James, Philip Bosco - The Savages, John Travolta - Hairspray
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Alternates: Catherine Keener - Into the Wild, Ruby Dee - American Gangster
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