Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Final Oscar Predictions: Part I

Art Direction

Avatar
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
The Young Victoria


My Prediction: Avatar

At one point it was looking as if Avatar had every Tech award in the bag, but it seems that The Hurt Locker still poses a challenge in that regard. However, the competition for James Cameron's film in this category seems pretty limp. Nothing stands out as a huge feat, and so this should be an easy get.

Cinematography

Avatar
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
The White Ribbon


My Prediction: Avatar

This could go to either Ackroyd or Berger, but I suspect that Fiore will take it for Avatar, since it's the "prettiest" and feels the most visual.

Costume Design

Bright Star
Coco Before Chanel
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
The Young Victoria


My Prediction: The Young Victoria

Although I think every other designer in this line-up did a better job than Sandy Powell in 2009 The Young Victoria has come at just the right time to emerge as the British period winner that frequently pops up here.

Documentary Feature

Burma VJ
The Cove
Food, Inc
The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers
Which Way Home


My Prediction: The Cove

It's March of the Penguins all over again. How can you compete with the cute dolphins? Regardless of that, The Cove is pretty devastatingly effective when it wants to be and will complete its sweep on Sunday.

Documentary (Short Subject)

China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province
The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner
The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant
Music by Prudence
Rabbit à la Berlin

My Prediction: China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province

I've found it's best to go for the most sympathetic, humanist option in this category. The tears have me sold.

Film Editing

Avatar
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious


My Prediction: The Hurt Locker

Again this seems like a battle between the "big two", but The Hurt Locker's editing is much more frantic and obvious so I reckon it's got the upper hand.

Makeup

Il Divo
Star Trek
The Young Victoria

My Prediction: Il Divo

There isn't really an obvious winner in this category so I'm going to go for Il Divo. Its cosmetics clearly has admirers so why not?

Music (Original Score)

Avatar
Fantastic Mr Fox
The Hurt Locker
Sherlock Holmes
Up

My Prediction: Up

Tough call since The Hurt Locker's surprise inclusion here. Giacchino's seems much cuter, and there's no other obvious winner so he could coast through to a win based on the love for Wall-E last year.

Music (Original Song)

Almost There, The Princess and the Frog
Down in New Orleans, The Princess and the Frog
Loin de Paname, Paris 36
Take It All, Nine
The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart

My Prediction: The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart

It could be the Paris 36 song, but I'm still thinking this.

Short Film (Animated)

French Roast
Granny O'Grimm's Sleeping Beauty
Logorama
The Lady and the Reaper
A Matter of Loaf and Death

My Prediction: A Matter of Loaf and Death

They love Wallace and Gromit.

Short Film (Live Action)

The Door
Instead of Abracadabra
Kavi
Miracle Fish
The New Tenants

My Prediction: The Door

About a woman grieving for her dead daughter.

Sound Editing

Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up

My Prediction: Avatar

Loudest.

Sound Mixing

Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen


My Prediction: Avatar

Ditto.

Visual Effects

Avatar
District 9
Star Trek

My Prediction: Avatar

Duh.

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